...RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE...

 

THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET FOR NOW.  I CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE BAHAMAS, CARIBBEAN AND GULF FOR ANY SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  GFS SO FAR IS THE ONLY MODEL SUGGESTING DEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES.  HOWEVER, THIS IS A LONG RANGE FORECAST AND IT COULD CHANGE IN TIME.  SO FAR ITS LOOKING GOOD FOR NOW AND LETS HOPE IT STAYS THAT WAY.  

RTW

GFS Global Forecast System Model

Ensemble Models