...THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET, BUT I WILL BE MONITORING THE CARIBBEAN END OCT EARLY NOVEMBER...

THE GFS MODELS CONTINUES HINTING AT DEVELOPMENT IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.  HOWEVER, WITH ALL THESE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST IN THE COMING WEEKS, THE LIKELIHOOD OF ANY STORMS TRACKING WEST TOWARD THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN WILL BE LOW.  STORMS THAT FORM IN THE EAST CARIBBEAN WOULD TURN NORTHEAST OVER THE ATLANTIC AWAY FROM THE U.S. MAINLAND.

RTW