...INVEST 91E GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANZIED...

 

Storm Investigation 91E continues to show signs of organization this evening.  91E could become a depression over night or on Saturday according to NHC.  Heavy rains continue to develop over the Yucatan and Central America.  Flash flood and mudslides in mountainous terrain are possible.

RTW

National Hurricane Center

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri May 27 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located about 200 miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico,  
have increased in organization today.  Environmental conditions are 
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form later tonight or on Saturday while it moves 
westward at 5 to 10 mph.  This system is expected to turn northward 
and strengthen while it moves toward southern Mexico this weekend. 
Tropical-storm-force or hurricane-force winds are becoming 
increasingly likely along the coast of southern Mexico early next 
week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this 
disturbance.  Additionally, locally heavy rainfall is possible along 
coastal sections of Guatemala and southern Mexico during the next 
few days, which could cause flash flooding and mudslides.  
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can 
be found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Reinhart