...CONTINUE MONITORING INVEST 94L AND GULF INVEST FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO NEXT WEEK...

 

Invest 94L looks a bit disorganized but as we know from previous model run this system will more than likely develop some before it reaches the Windward Islands or as it tracks through the Caribbean.  

This system continues to track in the lower latitudes due to a dominant Azores High Pressure.  This high pressure ridge extends into the Caribbean and this will be the track 94L will take until the ridge curves northward.  So a track mainly to the west and maybe a track to the west-northwest as it approaches the Central Southern Caribbean.  94L is not a U.S. threat but those in the lower latitudes like Trinidad and Tobago, the Islands North of Venezuela, and Columbia, also Nicaragua, Honduras, or even the Yucatan should continue to monitor the future track of 94L.

Invest in the Gulf should also be monitored closely as this system could develop closer to the coast.  Regardless of development this could be a flood potential.

RTW

GFS Ensemble

94L Guidance Model