....SAHARA DUST AND DRY AIR ON THE MOVE TOWARD THE WEST...STILL MONITORING SEVERAL STORM INVEST FOR DEVELOPMENT....

 

• Several tropical waves tracking west enhancing storms over the Southwest Caribbean and East Pacific. 
  

• Sahara Dust Dry air also on the move toward the west suppressing tropical activity at this time. 
  

• Strong storms moving off the African coast interaction with the monsoon trough and possibly a new wave moving off the coast of Africa.
  

• Non are showing signs of organization at this time.

• NHC monitoring three areas for development see below.
  

RTW

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 131226 CCA
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

Corrected to add generic low wording in the formation chance section

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop by the middle part 
of this week over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible thereafter while it drifts 
generally northwestward off the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake

--------------------------------------------------------------------

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131151
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 13 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of 
showers and thunderstorms. While recent satellite-derived winds 
indicate the low does not yet have a well-defined center, 
environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional 
development. A tropical depression is likely to form in the next day 
or two while the system moves slowly northwestward off the 
southwestern coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system, 
including gale warnings, can be found in high seas forecasts issued 
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Off the coast of Central America:
A trough of low pressure has formed a couple of hundred miles 
southwest of the coast of Nicaragua and is producing a disorganized 
area of showers and thunderstorms. Some additional development of 
this system is possible over the next few days as long as it remains 
offshore, moving slowly northwestward near the coast of Central 
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Papin