Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW: ...STORM INVEST 92E IN THE EAST PACIFIC UPGRADED TO HIGH 90% WITHIN 48 HRS AND 5-DAYS...STORM INVEST OVER THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN IS NOW MED 40% 5-DAYS...

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131755
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 13 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area 
of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become a bit more 
concentrated today, and environmental conditions appear conducive 
for additional development. A tropical depression is expected to 
form during the next day or so while the system moves slowly 
northwestward off the southwestern coast of Mexico. Additional 
information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in 
high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Off the coast of Central America:
A trough of low pressure located around a hundred miles southwest 
of the coast of Nicaragua is producing a disorganized area of 
showers and thunderstorms. This activity has changed little in 
organization today, but some additional development of this system 
is possible over the next several days as long as it remains 
offshore, moving slowly northwestward near the coast of Central 
America and southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast 
to become less conducive for development by the end of this week. 
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains will be possible 
across portions of Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Southern 
Mexico through the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

$$
Forecaster Papin

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 131756
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of disturbed weather is located over the southwestern 
Caribbean Sea, associated with a surface trough of low pressure. 
Some slow development is possible, and a tropical depression could 
form by late this week if the system remains over water.  The 
disturbance is expected to move northwestward near the coasts of 
Nicaragua and Honduras during that time.  Regardless of 
development, this system could produce periods of heavy rainfall 
across portions of eastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras late this 
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake