...NHC MONITORING AN INVEST IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND I AM MONITORING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FOR DEVELOPMENT...

 

NHC IS MONITORING AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC WHILE I MONITOR THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FOR DEVELOPMENT, AS THE GFS CONTINUES INSIST THAT SOMETHING WILL DEVELOP IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located well to the east of Bermuda is 
producing limited shower activity. Although environmental conditions 
are only marginally conducive for development during the next few 
days, the disturbance could still acquire some subtropical or 
tropical characteristics by early next week while it moves westward 
to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the subtropical 
Atlantic. By the middle part of next week, further development 
appears unlikely while the system moves northwestward over cooler 
waters of the northwestern Atlantic and encounters stronger 
upper-level winds. Additional information on this system, including 
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Bucci