MODELS TO HINTING AT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE EAST OF BAHAMAS. SOME SHOW THIS LOW MOVING BACK TOWARD THE WEST AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES IT BACK TOWARD THE EAST COAST WHILE SOME OF THE OTHER SUGGEST A COLD FRONT WILL TURN IT BACK OUT TO SEA AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE EAST COAST.
THE GFS ENEMBLE MODEL SUGGEST A TURN TOWARD FLORIDA.
I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR!
RTW
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Nov 2 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lisa, located near Belize, and on Hurricane Martin, located over the
central North Atlantic.
1. Southwestern Atlantic:
A complex, non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to develop
this weekend over the northeastern Caribbean Sea or the
southwestern Atlantic. Some slow subtropical or tropical
development of this system is possible afterward while it moves
generally northward to northwestward through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Blake
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