...I CONTINUE TO MONITOR SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC AND FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...

MODELS ARE STILL HINTING THAT A BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM EAST OF THE BAHAMAS.  ALTHOUGH NON OF THE MODELS SUGGEST STRONG DEVELOPMENT, THIS LOW COULD ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.  THE WORSE SCENARIO COULD BE THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS.  NO WORRIES JUST WATCH AND STAY UPDATED.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 031140
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Nov 3 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lisa, located inland over southeastern Mexico, and on 
Hurricane Martin, located over the central North Atlantic.

Northwestern Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a weak 
non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east 
of Bermuda. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally 
conducive for slow subtropical or tropical development of this 
system during the next few days as it moves slowly southward today 
and then turns westward by the weekend. The disturbance is expected 
to merge with a larger system developing to its southwest by the 
end of the weekend and further development is not anticipated at 
that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic:
A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop this 
weekend over the northeastern Caribbean sea and southwestern 
Atlantic. The system is expected to initially be very broad and 
disorganized, but environmental conditions could support gradual 
subtropical or tropical development beginning early next week while 
it moves generally northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky