....STORM INVESIGATION AFTERNOON UPDATE...

 

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Nov 3 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Lisa, located inland over southeastern Mexico, and on 
Hurricane Martin, located over the central North Atlantic.

1. East of Bermuda:
A weak non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred 
miles east of Bermuda continues to produce a few disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Any tropical or subtropical development 
of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next few days 
as it moves slowly southward today and then turns westward by the 
weekend. The system is forecast to merge with a larger low pressure 
area developing to its southwest by the end of the weekend and 
further development is not anticipated at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Southwestern Atlantic:
A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop this 
weekend across the northeastern Caribbean sea and southwestern 
Atlantic. The system is expected to initially be very broad and 
disorganized, but environmental conditions could support gradual 
subtropical or tropical development beginning early next week while 
it moves generally northwestward or westward over the southwestern 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky