Thursday, April 6, 2023

..WATCHING THE GULF AND OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST FOR LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT EARLY NEXT WEEK..


MODELS HAVE BEEN HINTING THE PAST FEW DAYS THAT LOW PRESSURE COULD DEVELOP IN THE EASTERN GULF OR EAST OF THE FLORIDA COAST.  

SOME MODELS SUGGEST A WEAK LOW THAT COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN FOR THE SOUTHERN STATES AND A PORTION OF FLORIDA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AT THIS TIME NONE OF THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A SUB-TROPICAL OR TROPICAL SYSTEM BUT, IT CAN'T BE RULED OUT SINCE WATER TEMPS ARE NICE AND WARM.

GFS SUGGEST STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN FLORIDA WITH POSSIBLE MULTIPLE LOWS.  

I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUT AT THIS TIME ITS NOTHING TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT.

RTW

EURO MODEL

GFS MODEL

GEM (CMC) CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN MODEL

THE DARKER SHADES OF YELLOW TO ORANGE STRONGER LOWS

GEFS (GFS) ENSEMBLE MEAN MODEL

7 DAY RAINFALL OUTLOOK

THE INCHES LEGEND IS ON THE LEFT.

DAYS 1-4 RAINFALL OUTLOOK

DAY 1-3 NATIONAL FORECAST

DAYS 1-7 COLD FRONT FORECAST SHOWS FRONT PROGRESSION, RAINFALL, THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE STORM POSSIBILITY.

GFS MODEL ENSEMBLE TRACKS.

THESE ARE POSSIBLE POSITIONS OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT

EURO MODEL ENSEMBLE ONLY SHOW ONE LOW TRACK OVER NORTH FLORIDA










No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.