..TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK MAY 21, 2023..

 

STILL MONITORING FLORIDA FOR POSSIBLE RAIN AND STORMS FROM DEVELOPING LOWS AND THE EASTERN BAHAMA.  UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM DEVELOP IN THE COMING DAYS.  IN FACT THE EURO SUGGEST A SHORT LIVED SYSTEM WHILE THE GFS SUGGEST MAYBE A SUB-TROPICAL MAYBE A DEPRESSION. I WILL CONTINUED REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT OR NOT.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

270 
ABNT20 KNHC 211732
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun May 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad low is producing a large area of disturbed weather extending 
a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to become less favorable later today and 
development of this system is not expected as it moves generally 
north-northeastward over the southwestern Atlantic at 5 to 10 mph 
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Bucci 

GFS ENSEMBLE

EURO ENSEMBLE