..FRANKLIN UPDATE AND THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK AUG 22, 2023..

 

...SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

11:00 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 Location: 15.5°N 71.1°W Moving: NW at 7 mph Min pressure: 1002 mb Max sustained: 50 mph

ELSE WHERE NO WORRIES TO THE EASTERN SEA BOARD AT TIME.  HOWEVER, I WILL BE MONITORING IN THE COMING WEEK THE EAST PACIFIC AND THE WEST CARIBBEAN FOR FUTURE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AS MODELS ARE HINTING DEVELOPMENT.

RTW

000

ABNT20 KNHC 221106
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Franklin, located over the east-central Caribbean Sea, on 
Tropical Depression Gert, located a few hundred miles east-southeast 
of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Harold, 
located just offshore of south Texas.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave. 
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
later this week or over the weekend while it moves 
west-northwestward to northwestward across the eastern and central 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
The remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily are located over the 
central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east-northeast of 
the Leeward Islands.  Although development is unlikely in the next 
day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions, some 
development is possible late this week or this weekend when the 
system moves northward over the subtropical central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Harold are issued under WMO 
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Harold are issued 
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin