Tuesday, September 5, 2023

..TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK SEPT. 5, 2023..

 


Good morning, and happy Tuesday!

I will continue to monitor models and possible troughs coming out of Canada in the coming week. So far, most of the models show troughs helping to move future Hurricane Lee northwest and north. 

However, if T.D. 13 or Lee tracks at a lower latitude, the Northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico could be affected, but we're not sure if that will happen, so watch closely. Read the NHC key message below. Bermuda should closely monitor, as should Nova Scotia and Newfoundland as well. 

As for the other system near the African coast, that system should remain out over the north-central Atlantic waters.

As we well know this is not a forecast just an observation on my part.  Always refer to the National Hurricane Centers website for updates.

STORM INVESTIGATION 95L IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13

RTW

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A POWERFUL HURRICANE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...
11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 5
Location: 12.5°N 40.2°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph









The EURO model shows a trough out of Canada in the blue, turning powerful Major Hurricane Lee into a weakness in the high ridge left behind by a remnant low from Idalia.


The GFS model shows a trough out of Canada in the blue, turning powerful Major Hurricane Lee into a weakness in the high ridge left behind by a remnant low from Idalia as well.


The (GEM) Canadian model shows a trough out of Canada in the blue, turning powerful Major Hurricane Lee into a weakness in the high pressure ridge, left behind by a remnant low from Idalia as well.








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