Friday, January 19, 2024

.. A CHANCE FOR GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TODAY WITH THE APPROACH OF A STRONGER FRONT..

 


One more day of warm humid temps before the front clears Florida overnight and cools us down Saturday and Sunday when the coldest temps arrive.  

Today we also have a chance for showers and storms.  Some could produce heavy downpours, gusty winds lightning and small hail (General Thunderstorms).  The Storm Prediction Center does not anticipate severe storms today.

Saturdays temps will struggle to reach 70s and Sunday breezy/ and gusty making it feel colder than the actual temperature.  Lower 50s to upper 40s early morning.

RTW


SPC AC 191245

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0645 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2024

   Valid 191300Z - 201200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few thunderstorms may be noted across parts of south Florida and
   along the central California Coast.

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper flow field across the U.S. will be characterized by fast
   cyclonic flow over the eastern 2/3 of the country today and tonight,
   while ridging prevails over the West.  Ridging will be gradually
   shunted eastward however, as a low-trough over the eastern Pacific
   approaches -- and eventually reaches -- the West Coast.

   At the surface, a cold front will move southward across Florida and
   the Gulf of Mexico, as high pressure gradually expands southward to
   encompass a large portion of the U.S. east of the Rockies.  While
   cold stable air associated with this high will preclude thunder
   potential in most areas, showers and a few thunderstorms will be
   possible across parts of southern Florida ahead of the front, today
   and into this evening.  However, weak lapse rates -- and resulting
   weak CAPE -- will preclude any appreciable severe potential.

   In the West, a few lightning flashes will be possible later in the
   period, as convection moves inland ahead of the advancing Pacific
   trough and an associated surface cold front.  However, weak
   instability and the anticipated/elevated nature of this convection
   suggests minimal, if any, severe risk.

   ..Goss.. 01/19/2024


A Freeze Watch and Warning is in effect, so monitor your 
local weather medias for over night temps!


General showers and storms possible 
today in the shaded green area!


Sunday morning wake up temps 4 different models.
EURO, GFS, CMC, and the ICON








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