Thursday, May 23, 2024

..TROPICAL OUTLOOK MAY 23, 2023..

 


The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the surface trough of low pressure for development as it moves into the Atlantic. Upper-level conditions are not favorable; however, some of the models suggest some development into a tropical or sub-tropical system could occur as it tracks north-northeast. If it were to develop, it would be a short-lived system.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 231145
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
800 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic:
A large area of cloudiness and showers over the southwestern 
Atlantic is associated with a surface trough.  An area of low 
pressure is expected to form within this system a few hundred miles 
north of Hispaniola in the next day or so.  Environmental conditions 
are not expected to be conducive, however, some slight tropical or 
subtropical development is possible while the low moves 
northeastward through the weekend. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch
Spanish Version:
367 
ACCA62 KNHC 231254
TWOSAT

Perspectiva de Tiempo Tropical
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL
800 AM EDT jueves 23 de mayo de 2024

Para el Atlántico Norte...Mar del Caribe y el Golfo de México:

Suroeste del Atlántico: Una gran área de nubosidad y aguaceros sobre
el suroeste del Atlántico está associada con una vaguada
superficial. Se espera que se forme un área de baja presión dentro
de este sistema unos pocos cientos de millas al norte de Hispaniola
en el próximo día más o menos. No se espera que las condiciones
ambientales sean propias, sin embargo, es posible algún ligero
desarrollo tropical o subtropical mientras la baja se mueva hacia el
noreste hasta el fin de semana.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 48 horas...baja...10 por ciento.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 7 días...baja...10 por ciento.

$$
Pronosticador Bucci/Pasch

*** Este producto ha sido procesado automáticamente utilizando un
programa de traducción y puede contener omisiones y errores. El
Servicio Nacional de Meteorología no puede garantizar la precisión
del texto convertido. De haber alguna duda, el texto en inglés es
siempre la versión autorizada. ***



Upper level winds are not favorable at this time.




Sea Surface Temps
Models show low trying develop north of north of Dominican Republic, however, 
it also shows short lived low as it tracks further into the Atlantic.






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