..TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JULY 29, 2024..

 

We remain in monitor daily mode since we don't have any idea how strong or where this storm system will end up. All we have is a small area of disturbed weather that is located east of the CORRECTION east of the Leeward not Windward Islands. A tropical wave behind this disturbance will be passing over this disturbance, and the interaction with this system will enhance storm activity. As it is at this time, this system is also interacting with Saharan dust, which is hindering development. This system is forecast to track west-northwest in the coming days, and as it approaches the northern Leeward Islands, conditions could be more favorable for a tropical depression to form. Euro Ensemble models are showing this system curving north and northeast along the east coast of the U.S.; however, since there is no center of circulation and no actual storm yet, these tracks are meaningless at this time. What you should be concentrating on at this time is preparations around your home, checking your plan of action, and getting yourself and your family ready in case this system strengthens and tracks your way. 

Monitor the National Hurricane Center website daily for the latest on this and other storm systems this season.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291119
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic 
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave 
during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are 
forecast to become conducive for some development thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form later this week while the system is 
in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

486 
ACCA62 KNHC 291121
TWOSAT

Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo en el Trópico
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL
800 AM EDT lunes 29 de julio de 2024

Para el Atlántico Norte...Mar Caribe y el Golfo de México:

Cerca de las Islas de Sotavento y las Grandes Antillas: Se espera
que un área de tiempo perturbado sobre el Océano Atlántico tropical
central interactúe con una onda tropical que se acerca durante los
próximos dos días. Se pronostica que las condiciones ambientales se
volverán propicias para algún desarrollo a partir de entonces, y una
depresión tropical podría formarse más tarde esta semana mientras el
sistema está en las cercanías de las Grandes Antillas.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 48 horas...baja...cerca del 0 por
ciento.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 7 días...medio...50 por ciento.

$$
Pronosticador Cangialosi

*** Este producto ha sido procesado automáticamente utilizando un
programa de traducción y puede contener omisiones y errores. El
Servicio Nacional de Meteorología no puede garantizar la precisión
del texto convertido. De haber alguna duda, el texto en inglés es
siempre la versión autorizada. ***

REMEMBER THIS GRAPHIC DOES NOT SHOW A POSSIBLE TRACK BUT A POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT 

AREA OF WHERE THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP. RTW