Friday, July 5, 2024

..HURRICANE BERYL UPDATE 1000 AM EDT..

 


Texas should closely monitor the progress of Beryl, as it is forecast to become a hurricane and possibly make landfall anywhere from the Texas-Mexican border northward to the middle Texas coast. Heavy rains are expected, which can enhance the potential for flash floods.

RTW

...BERYL WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND DAMAGING WAVES EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THIS AREA FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...
10:00 AM CDT Fri Jul 5
Location: 20.7°N 88.3°W
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph











The upper-level low south of Beryl is undercutting Beryl's southern cloud structure. This is helping to weaken the cyclone as it traverses the Yucatan. Beryl is forecast to strengthen back to a Cat-1 as it makes its approach along the Mexican-Texas border or points north or there.









Below are some of the intensity models suggesting 
Cat-1 or 2 making landfall along the Texas coast. 








Excess rainfall outlook Slight risk





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