..MILTON A POWERFUL CATEGORY-4 HURRICANE OCT 7, 2024..

 

Earlier Milton had a temporary wobble to the southeast but now seems to be back on a track to the east-southeast. I am still seeing some ensemble models a bit to the south like the CMC and UKMET model. Although the mean continues to show Tampa you can't rule out a track a bit south of there. 

Milton strengthen to a Cat-4 earlier and intensity models are saying that Milton will strengthen to a Cat-5 over the Southwest Gulf.

South Florida as long as we have Milton to the southwest  south Florida you should continue to monitor and be storm ready!

RTW

567 
WTNT64 KNHC 071558 CCA
TCUAT4

Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142024
1055 AM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024

Corrected for location/distances in the summary section

...MILTON RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate 
that Milton has strengthened to a category 5 hurricane.  The 
maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 160 mph (250 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Data from the aircraft also indicate that the 
minimum pressure has fallen to 925 mb (27.31 inches).


SUMMARY OF 1055 AM CDT...1555 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 91.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Blake/Brown

...MILTON CONTINUING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY.. ...FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

10:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 Location: 21.7°N 91.7°W Moving: ESE at 9 mph Min pressure: 933 mb Max sustained: 155 mph

Wind shear to the north of Milton has become unfavorable so let hop that helps to bring down Milton's intensity as it nears the west coast Wednesday into Thursday.