Moderate risk for severe storms and tornado on day 3! Monitor the Storm Prediction Center for changes to the forecast out risk areas.
Categorical Outlook:
These are the risk areas at this time:
| MODERATE | 64,015 | 6,517,615 | New Orleans, LA...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...Mobile, AL... |
| ENHANCED | 131,293 | 16,732,431 | Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Columbus, GA...Knoxville, TN...Huntsville, AL... |
| SLIGHT | 182,466 | 27,416,384 | Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Cleveland, OH...Pittsburgh, PA...Cincinnati, OH... |
| MARGINAL | 105,921 | 13,395,305 | Indianapolis, IN...Charlotte, NC...Toledo, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...Winston-Salem, NC... |
Probabilistic Outlook:
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
| SIG SEVERE | 195,570 | 23,301,787 | Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA... |
| 45 % | 63,985 | 6,513,463 | New Orleans, LA...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...Mobile, AL... |
| 30 % | 131,443 | 16,735,634 | Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Columbus, GA...Knoxville, TN...Huntsville, AL... |
| 15 % | 182,879 | 27,608,430 | Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Cleveland, OH...Pittsburgh, PA...Cincinnati, OH... |
| 5 % | 105,790 | 13,391,165 | Detroit, MI...Indianapolis, IN...Charlotte, NC...Toledo, OH...Fort Wayne, IN... |
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