...TROPICAL OUTLOOK FOR MAY 19, 2025...

 

Good afternoon!. I been looking at the inter-tropical convergence zone which is the area circled on the map between Africa and South America below 10° North and above the equator 0° North.

This area looks locked and loaded with precipitable water. There is plenty of moisture for development in this area of the Atlantic. Upper level conditions are also favorable in this area. There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation in this area at this time.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 191724
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Mon May 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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637 
ACCA62 KNHC 191724
TWOSAT

Pronóstico del Tiempo Tropical
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL
Emitido por el Centro de Predicción del Tiempo del SNM College Park
MD
200 PM EDT lunes 19 de mayo de 2025

Para el Atlántico Norte...Mar Caribe y el Golfo de América:

No se espera la formación de ciclones tropicales durante los
próximos 7 días.

$$
Pronosticador Berg

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NHC identifies a tropical wave near 20° West. and there are no signs of organization.

Sea Surface Temperatures are nice and warm across the Inter-tropical conversion zone
and in the Caribbean.

Inter-tropical convergence zone below in the yellow circle.

Precipitable water forecast in the ITCZ is favorable for tropical cyclone formation plenty of moisture.

Upper level conditions are also favorable in the ITCZ in the southern Caribbean