...LOOKING GOOD IN THE TROPICS NON OF THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING DEVELOPMENT....

TROPICS REMAIN QUIET!

RTW

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. 

$$
Forecaster Brown

...TROPICAL UPDATE FOR MONDAY NOV. 21, 2022...

 

THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 211110
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. 

$$
Forecaster Brown

...TROPICAL OUTLOOK SUNDAY NOVEMBER 20, 2022...

 

THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET.  I CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE WEST CARIBBEAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.  NOTHING TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT, JUST STAYING ON TOP OF THE TROPICS AS WE NEAR THE END OF THE SEASON.

UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER THE SOUTHEAST AS LOW PRESSURE FROM THE GULF TRACKS ACROSS THE STATE AND COLD FRONTS ENHANCE EVEN MORE MOISTURE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING ALONG THE DEEP SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST..

RTW

...MONITORING THE CARIBBEAN, GULF AND A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE, SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

 

MONITORING THREE AREAS BUT THE ONLY ONE THAT SEEMS TO BE GRABBING MY ATTENTION AND NOW TWO MODELS ARE HINTING AT DEVELOPMENT IS THE CARIBBEAN.  BEFORE IT WAS THE GFS, BUT NOW THE CMC/GEM MODEL ARE HINTING AT FORMATION IN THE CARIBBEAN.  NOTHING TO GET EXCITED ABOUT JUST YET, BUT IT IS SOMETHING TO WATCH DURING THE NEXT FEW WEEKS.

RTW

...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GFS IS UP TO ITS USUAL DAY DREAMING DEVELOPING A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER.  I WOULD DISREGARD THIS UNLESS WE BEGIN TO SEE OTHER MODELS SUGGESTING  THE SAME.

WHAT I AM SEEING SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHERN GULF AND EXTENDS NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.  IF YOU REMEMBER  THE CLIMATE PREDICITON CENTER SAID THAT WOULD BE POSSIBLE FORMATION IN THAT REGION BETWEEN NOVEMBER 16-22.  I WILL MONITOR THIS AREA CLOSELY.

RTW

DISREGARD UNLESS WE SEE OTHER MODELS SUGGESTING THE SAME!

00Z GFS MODEL RUN

12Z GFS MODEL RUN. (THIS WOULD BE MORE LOGICAL)

...TROPICAL OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 17, 2022...

 

THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET AND CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER SHOWS NO TORPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OF THE ATLANTIC BASIN NOV 23 THROUGH DEC 6, 2022.

RTW

...TROPICAL OUTLOOK NOV 16 2022...

 

ALL REMAINS QUIET NO TROPICAL FORMATION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RTW

...NO SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST BY STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS...

 

SEVERE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IS NOT EXPECTING SEVERE STORMS FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS.

RTW

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER DAYS 1-3 FORECAST CHART

...TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 15, 2022...

 

THE TROPICS REMAIN QUIET.  STILL MONITORING THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN FOR TROPICAL FORMATION NOV 16-22.  OTHERWISE ALL IS QUIET.

RTW