UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight Feb 18, 2017

Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 70°F.  South wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 19

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  Southwest wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  Northwest wind to 8 MPH.

Monday Feb 20

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 82°F.  North northeast wind 6 to 13 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East northeast wind to 10 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East northeast wind 8 to 13 MPH.

Isolated Showers during the night: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 70°F. East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Wednesday Feb 22

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F. East southeast wind to 17 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the night: Lows around 66°F.  East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Thursday Feb 23

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 17 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  Southeast wind to 10 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Feb 24

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 82°F. West wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F. South southwest wind to 9 MPH.

MODELS COME TO THEIR SENSES, NO LONGER INSISTING ON LOW IN GULF

After reviewing the latest model run for Saturday Feb 18, 2017 models have dropped the notion that low pressure may form possibly a sub-tropical system  in the Gulf and track across  Florida during middle of next week.  I will keep monitoring in case it pops back up again.

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST 0414 PM EST

Today Feb 17, 2017

Mostly Sunny today:  Highs around 79°F.  North wind to 10 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 64°F.  East wind to 8 MPH.

Saturday Feb 18

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  Southeast wind 9 to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. night:  Lows around 70°F. South southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 19

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during day:  Highs around 84°F.  Southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  West wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Monday Feb 20

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 82°F. Northeast wind 5 to 11 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  East northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 10 to 15 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  East wind to 14 MPH.

Wednesday Feb 22

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East southeast wind 11 to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  Southeast wind to 16 MPH. Chance of rain increase to 50 percent due the approach of a Gulf low forecast to track over the state.  Severe storms can’t be ruled out as a squall line is forecast to move across the state ahead of the low pressure system.

Thursday Feb 23

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  South southeast wind to 15 MPH. Chance of rain increases 50 percent due to Gulf low forecast to pass over the state of Florida.  Severe storms can’t be ruled out as a squall line is forecast to move across the state ahead of the low pressure system.

HIGH RISK FLOODING LOS ANGELES THIS WEEKEND!

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

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GULF MOISTURE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER LOUISIANA

A disturbance from the western Gulf is drawing in moisture over Louisiana today.  Some cells could be strong to may be severe with heavy rains and gusty winds at time.

RTW 

 Wide view Radar

Infrared Enhanced Satellite 

 Visible Satellite

 Water Vapor

 

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HAS A HIGH RISK OF FLASH FLOODS

Here is the latest graphics!

STILL MONITORING MODELS FOR SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF NEXT WEEK

Good morning everyone, I am still monitoring different models for possible sub-tropical development by middle of next week.  

Models are still suggesting low pressure development and a track across the Florida Peninsula and ahead of the low a squall line.  

So if it does materialize and depending on how strong this system becomes will determine if Florida will experience severe weather or not.  Systems that come from this direction usually produce enough upper level lift to spin off water spouts and isolated tornadoes.   Let's just continue to monitor different model run which I will post on here daily so stay tuned here for the latest.  

RTW