...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave axis is along 38W/39W S of 13N in the eastern Atlantic, moving west at 15 kt. TPW imagery depicts abundant moisture in the wave environment south of 10N. Isolated moderate convection is noted where the wave meets the ITCZ. A tropical wave axis along 60W/61W S of 14N is moving west into the eastern Caribbean at 10-15 kt. A surge of moisture associated with the wave is evident from TPW imagery. Scattered moderate convection is east of the wave near the coast of South America. The passage of the wave will bring some shower activity across Windward Islands today. A tropical wave axis along 85W S of 18N is moving westward at 10- 15 kt across Central America. Abundant moisture is related to the wave based on TPW animation. A cluster of moderate to strong convection persists over the SW Caribbean in the wake of the wave axis. The wave is also inducing a cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection in the eastern Pacific S of Panama. Showers from this wave will spread across the Central America today, and reach the Yucatan Peninsula tonight.
-----------------------------------------------------------------There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW
I continue to monitor the Northwest Caribbean into next week. Although
high pressure seems in control at this time and may be in control next
week the GFS continues to insist on some development in this region
of the Caribbean. GFS was the only one insisting on Alberto when other
models were not picking up on Alberto's development, so I don't want
ignore this model...RTW