TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE STORMS ARE TRACKING SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

 IN THE LATEST COLOR SATELLITE YOU CAN SEE THE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH DISORGANIZED JOSEPHINE BEING PUSHED SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN LEEWARD.  IF THIS TREND CONTINUES STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD SPREAD OVER THE ISLANDS OVER NIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING.

RTW 

000
WTNT31 KNHC 160234
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112020
1100 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2020

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS JOSEPHINE BARELY MAINTAINING
TROPICAL STORM STATUS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 62.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine 
was located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near 
latitude 20.1 North, longitude 62.6 West. Josephine is moving toward 
the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is 
expected to continue for the next day or two, followed by a turn 
toward the northwest and north early next week. On the forecast 
track,  the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast 
and north of the Leeward Islands tonight through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Josephine is now in an area of unfavorable upper-level winds, and
weakening is expected during the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.  Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart