Wednesday, October 14, 2020

TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATION


000
ABNT20 KNHC 141743
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure approaching the Lesser Antilles 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms, mainly to the east of its center.  Strong 
upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development 
while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of 
days.  Regardless of development, the system could produce locally 
heavy rainfall across portions of the central and northern Lesser 
Antilles today, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and 
Hispaniola on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
PLEASE NOTE THE YELLOW CIRCLED AREAS ARE NOT BEING MONITORED BY NHC AT THIS TIME.
THESES ARE AREAS SOME MODELS ARE HINTING DEVELOPMENT. SO AS A HEADS UP I AM 
MONITORING IT FOR YOU.  RTW 





 I SHORTEN THE ANIMATION AND ADDED THE 12 Z MODEL RUN FROM TODAY.  STILL
SHOWING A STORM OVER THE BAHAMAS INSTEAD OF FLORIDA. NOTE THESE ARE PREVIOUS POSITION THAT MODELS SHOWED DURING ITS TRACK NORTH AND 
NORTH-NORTHEAST... RTW

 



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