RTW TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE JUNE 13, 2021

 

TROPICAL UPDATE

GULF OF MEXICO, FLORIDA EAST COAST AND BAHAMAS

SOUTHERN GULF SEEING STRONG THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH STORM INVEST 92L.  SHOWERS A STRONG STORMS EXTEND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. 

STORM INVEST 92L NOW HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF 50% THROUGH 5 DAYS.

FLORIDA EAST COAST AND BAHAMAS SOME SHOWERS AND STORM OFFSHORE.

CARIBBEAN SEA

CUBA IS SEEING NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND STORMS, ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLAND.

EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEE SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS AS WELL.

SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN ALSO SEEING STRONG SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.

NORTH ATLANTIC, CENTRAL, AFRICAN COAST 

ATLANTIC HAS A NEW STORM INVEST EAST OF THE EASTERN SEA BOARD WITH A 20% CHANCE FOR FORMATION THROUGH 5 DAYS.

SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS OFF SHORE THE CAROLINA'S.

SHOWERS STORMS OVER THE ATLANTIC AND A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE MAP.

CENTRAL ATLANTIC SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS APPROACHING SOUTH AMERICA AND THE CENTRAL HAS SOME SHOWERS.  THE AFRICAN COAST AND WESTERN CONTINENT SEEING VERY STRONG TO NUMEROUS HEAVY RAINS AND STORMS MORE THAN LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH A NEW TROPICAL WAVE.

RTW

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

856 
ABNT20 KNHC 131747
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche 
is associated with a broad low pressure area, and the overall 
system has become somewhat better organized since yesterday.  Slow 
development is possible during the next few days while the system 
meanders near the coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could 
form late in the week while the system begins to move slowly 
northward.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible 
over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the 
next several days.  Please consult products from your local 
meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A non-tropical area of low pressure has formed about 150 miles 
south of Wilmington, North Carolina and is producing disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  This system is forecast to move
northeastward for the next few days near the warm Gulf Stream, 
which could allow for some tropical development to occur while it 
moves away from the United States.  The low should be over cold 
waters south of Nova Scotia by midweek, ending its development 
chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake