RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS AFTERNOON UPDATE JULY 25, 2021

 

NOT MUCH CHANGE SINCE THIS MORNING ALTHOUGH DRY AIR HAS BEEN REPLACED BY MOISTURE IN ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.  PRESSURE DROPPED A MILLIBAR FROM 1013MB TO 1012MB.  NOTHING SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME.  THERE STILL A CHANCE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A DEPRESSION BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ANYWHERE FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA TO GEORGIA.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 251757
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area located about 150 miles east of Daytona Beach, 
Florida, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity 
mainly over the southern part of its circulation.  Preliminary 
reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate 
that this system has changed little in strength since yesterday.  
Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development, 
and a tropical depression could still form later today or early 
Monday while the low drifts westward or west-northwestward toward 
the northeast coast of Florida.  Interests in Florida should 
continue to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch