RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS MORNING UPDATE JULY 25, 2021

 

STORM INVEST 90L HAS A WELL DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND THIS MORNING I AM SEEING MOISTURE RAPPING AROUND THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  I WILL MONITOR THIS BURST OF STORMS TO SEE IF IT CONTINUES TO DEVELOP.  

THERE IS STILL DRY AIR SURROUNDING THIS SYSTEM BUT THE MOISTURE RETURNING IS AN INDICATION THAT WIND SHEAR HAS LESSEN OVER NIGHT.  

PRESSURES REMAIN STEADY AT 1013MB NO CHANGE THERE.  WIND GUST OBSERVATION NEAR THIS SYSTEM 18MPH WAS THE HIGHEST GUST.

THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS A CHANCE TO BECOME A DEPRESSION IF THE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND RAP AROUND THE CENTER.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL OUTLOOK

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A well-defined low pressure area located about 160 miles east of 
Daytona Beach, Florida, continues to produce disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity mainly to the east and southeast of the 
center.  Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally 
conducive for development, and a tropical depression could still 
form later today or early Monday while the system drifts westward 
toward the east coast of Florida.  An Air Force Reserve 
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this 
afternoon, if necessary.  Interests in Florida should continue to 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Pasch