RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS MORNING UPDATE JULY 24, 2021

 

PRESSURES HAVE DROPPED SOME MORE OVER NIGHT, HOWEVER THE LOW REMAINS VOID OF THUNDERSTORMS SINCE THE STORMS ARE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  WIND GUST AND WINDS IN THIS AREA HAVE NOT REACH DEPRESSION STRENGTH AT THIS TIME BUT ACCORDING TO NHC CONDITION COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL OUTLOOK

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorm activity has increased a bit this morning 
in association with the low pressure system located about 200 miles 
east of Daytona Beach, Florida. Nearby buoy observations also 
indicate that surface pressures have been falling close to the 
center of this system. However, the associated shower and 
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located primarily 
south and east of the center. Environmental conditions are 
forecasted to become a bit more favorable for development, and a 
tropical depression could form over the next day or so while the low 
meanders offshore of the Florida Peninsula. Interests in Florida 
should continue to monitor the progress of this system.  An Air 
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 
the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Beven