RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS AFTERNOON UPDATE JULY 24, 2021

 

STORM INVEST 90L STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH DRY AIR ALONG THE WEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION.  THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  THERE HAS BEEN WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT AND DRY THAT HAS MOVED IN BEHIND THIS WEAK FRONT.

SO AT THIS TIME NHC IS CALLING FOR MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.  THERE IS A CHANCE 90L TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM AS IT MEANDERS OFF SHORE AND BEGINS A WESTWARD DRIFT TOWARD FLORIDA.  FLORIDIANS NEED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241743
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorm activity remain disorganized in association 
with the low pressure system located about 200 miles east of Daytona 
Beach, Florida. Environmental conditions appear only marginally 
conducive for additional development, but a tropical depression 
could still form over the next day or so while the low drifts 
westward towards the Florida Peninsula. Interests in Florida should 
continue to monitor the progress of this system.  An Air Force 
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to investigate the 
system further.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven

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