RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE AUG 5, 2021 0334 PM EDT

 

INVEST 92L NOW HAS A FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48HRS MEDIUM 40% AND HIGH 70% THROUGH 5-DAYS.

THE OTHER INVEST REMAINS AT LOW 0%-20%

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL OUTLOOK

655 
ABNT20 KNHC 051729
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 5 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing a large 
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is expected 
to move off the coasts of Senegal, The Gambia, and Guinea-Bissau 
later tonight.  Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive 
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
over the eastern tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde Islands 
by late Saturday or early Sunday while the system moves westward 
to west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues 
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for 
some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by early next week 
while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart