MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE LATTER HALF OF SEPTEMBER THEIR WILL BE AN EARLY SEASON STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW/ COLD FRONT THAT WILL DIG SOUTH AND EAST. THIS WOULD BE THE SYSTEM THAT WILL HELP TURN 95L AND ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM BEHIND 95L TO THE EAST. BEHIND THIS TROUGH WOULD BE STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR THAT WOULD ALSO TEAR APART ANY STORM STRUCTURE IT COMES IN CONTACT WITH. I AM ALSO SEEING A BEND TO THE MODELS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST SO THIS COULD BE ALSO THAT TURN DUE TO THE TROUGH.
REMEMBER THESE ARE FORECAST IN THE LONG RANGE AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE.
AS FOR 96L THAT SYSTEM AS YOU CAN SEE IT WILL CURVE OUT TO SEA. I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TROPICS BUT IF ALL GOES AS FORECAST IT LOOKS PRETTY GOOD DURING THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. I AM HOPING THAT ONE OF THOSE TROUGHS BRINGS COLD AIR TO THE DEEP SOUTH AND GIVES US RELIEF FROM THE HEAT WE HAD THIS SUMMER.
RTW
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