...TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 9, 2022...

 

National Hurricane Center

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

Click "here" for full Discussion

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 28W/29W from 02N 
to 17N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are within 60 nm either side of the wave from
06N to 09N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 52W south of
14N to inland Brazil near 02N It is moving westward at 15-20 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120 
nm east of the wave from 08N to 12N. Isolated showers and 
thunderstorms are within 60 nm west and 30 nm east of the wave 
axis from 11N to 14N.

The Caribbean Sea tropical wave that was along 65W south of 14N
is repositioned to along 69W from 02N to 15N at 18 UTC based on 
diagnostic guidance and latest low to mid-level satellite-derived
winds. It is moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant 
convection is noted over water, however, scattered moderate 
convection is over South America within 60 nm either side of the 
wave. 

The northern part of a southwestern Caribbean is along 83W south 
of 14N to across southern Costa Rica, and continues into the 
tropical eastern Pacific Ocean. It is moving westward at 5-10 kt.
Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is 
over Costa Rica. This wave has reached the eastern extent of the 
well established eastern Pacific monsoonal circulation. It is 
likely to become absorbed and non- detectable within the next 48 
hours. 

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

Storm Invest 2E

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 092316
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jun 9 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of southwestern Mexico: 
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southwest 
of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so.  
Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while 
the system meanders off the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven/Bucci

 June 15-21 will be monitoring the South Caribbean and the 

Bay of Campeche for development