...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE AFFECTING BERMUDA OVER NIGHT...ALEX A BIT STRONGER BUT CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE AHEAD OF ALEX...

 

Alex will be a short lived storm as it moves through cooler sea surface temps and hostile upper level winds.

RTW

National Hurricane Center

956 
WTNT31 KNHC 060245
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Alex Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012022
1100 PM AST Sun Jun 05 2022

...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ALEX A LITTLE
STRONGER...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA LATER
TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 69.0W
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was 
located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 69.0 West. Alex is 
moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A fast 
motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Monday night. 
On the forecast track, the center of the tropical storm is expected 
to pass near or just north of Bermuda on Monday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and 
observations from NOAA Buoy 41048 indicate that the maximum 
sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Alex is forecast to begin to weaken overnight, and the 
system is expected to become an extratropical low by late Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) 
from the center. Earlier this evening NOAA buoy 41048 reported peak 
sustained winds of 60 mph (96 km/h) and a wind gust of 69 mph (111 
km/h).

The latest minimum central pressure based on reconnaissance aircraft 
data is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Alex can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41
KNHC, and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on the island of
Bermuda beginning late tonight.

RAINFALL: Rainfall from Tropical Storm Alex is expected to
bring 1 to 2 inches or 25 to 50 mm of rain across Bermuda tonight
into Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown