...02:00 PM EDT TROPICAL OUTLOOK UPDATE 08-30-2022...

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

666 
ABNT20 KNHC 301742
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east 
of the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions are 
only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this system 
is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is 
likely to form later this week or this weekend. The disturbance is 
forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5 
to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward 
Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is 
located off the west coast of Africa. Some gradual development is 
possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical 
depression over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days. 
By late this week, environmental conditions are forecast to become 
increasingly unfavorable for further development. Regardless, the 
system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo 
Verde Islands on Wednesday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart