...NHC IS MONITORING A DISTUBANCE OVER NICARAGUA THAT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMEPCHE...

 

A DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE (SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO).  THIS DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO TRACK OVER EASTERN MEXICO AS POSSIBLE A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

RTW

304 
ABNT20 KNHC 161727
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 16 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave currently located over Nicaragua is forecast to move 
across Central America during the next few days and emerge over the 
Bay of Campeche, where an area of low pressure could form on Friday. 
Some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves 
northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the 
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Bucci