...MONITORING THE CARIBBEAN FOR DEVELOPMENT...

470 
ABNT20 KNHC 192316
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 19 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fiona, located just north of the northern coast of the Dominican 
Republic.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased slightly this evening 
in association with an area of low pressure located over the central 
subtropical Atlantic.  Some slow development is possible during the 
next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form during 
that time before environmental conditions become less conducive 
later this week.  The system should generally move northward or 
northeastward while remaining over the open waters of central 
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward 
Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is possible 
during the next several days while the system approaches the 
Windward Islands toward the end of the week and moves over the 
eastern Caribbean sea over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Jelsema