...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN IN THE CARIBBEAN PER NHC...

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE GRADUALLY DEVELOPING IN THE CARIBBEAN JAMAICA SHOULD PREPARE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS AS NINE TRACK NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAND, CAYMAN ISLAND AND CUBA SHOULD BEGIN TO PREPARE FOR NINE.

TRACK ARE FLIP FLOPPING THIS IS NORMAL TO SEE SOME ON THE LEFT AND OTHERS ON THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK.  FOR MIAMI DADE WE ARE WITHIN THE 5-4 DAY FORECAST WHICH MAKES THE FORECAST MORE ACCURATE THAN 6 AND BEYOND.

STILL UNCERTAINTIES TO WHERE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL MAKE LANDFALL.  IT ALL DEPENDS ON THE FRONT AND NINE'S INTERACTION WITH THE FRONT.  

• A WEAKER NINE WILL TRACK A BIT MORE WEST WHILE A STRONGER NINE MORE TO THE NORTH.  
• WILL THIS FRONT DIP SOUTH FAR ENOUGH TO TURN NINE QUICKER TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND TAKE IT OFF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AFFECTING THE WESTERN BAHAMAS? 
• OR WILL THE FRONT SLOW DOWN AND TRACK NINE FURTHER WEST AND THE NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST THEN TURN IT NORTHEAST. 

I SAY ANYONE WHO LIVES FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND SOUTHWARD TO THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH FROM THERE TO FT PEIRCE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR A POSSIBLE HURRICANE IMPACTING YOUR AREA BY EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK.

RTW

NOTE I BORROWED WPC FRONT ANALYSIS CHARTS TO DRAW ON AND MAKE THIS ANIMATION ILLUSTRATION.