...MONITORING A NEW STORM INVESTIGATION THAT WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR CLOSELY INTO NEXT WEEK...

 

Well here we go again another tropical wave that seems to have bit of the spin in the clouds.  GFS and EURO take it westward and so does the CMC model.  The Navy which is not that great of model takes a storm over Puerto Rico, that would not be a good scenario.  Let's not speculate with this system since it still way out and we all know by now that beyond 5 days model forecast are not reliable.  We continue to monitor and be storm ready!

As for the storm invest near the Cabo Verde Islands that has a 30-70% chance for development no threat to land at this time.

RTW

467 
ABNT20 KNHC 021739
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be favorable for some gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form around the middle part of this week.  
The system is forecast to move westward, then turn northwestward 
or northward by the end of the week over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in 
association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles east 
of the Windward Islands.  Some gradual development of the wave is 
possible during the next few days while it moves generally westward 
at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern 
Caribbean Sea by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake