...SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE STILL FIGHTING DRY AIR INTRUSION AS IT TRACK NORTHWEST...DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...

 BEEN MONITORING NICOLE'S EVEOLUTION MOST OF THE DAY AND THAT DRY AIR INTRUDING INTO NICOLE'S INFLOW IS KEEPING THE STORM IN CHECK FOR NOW.  

AS NICOLES MOVES OVR THE WARMER WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE LOW TIGHTENES UP A BIT WILL BEGIN TO SEE NICOLE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND STRENGTHENING INTO A HURRICANE.

THE WIND FIELD IN THIS STORM HAS EXPANDED SINCE IT IS A WEAK SYSTEM AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER.  SO A LARGE AREA OF FLORIDA WILL EXPERIENCE GUSTY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.  

READ MORE BELOW!

RTW

000
WTNT22 KNHC 071512 CCA
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2... CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022
1500 UTC MON NOV 07 2022

CORRECTED TO ADD LAKE OKEECHOBEE IN THE WATCH AND WARNING CHANGES.

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO HALLANDALE BEACH AND FOR 
LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF GEORGIA 
AND THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD 
TO HALLANDALE BEACH FLORIDA

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
SOUTHWARD TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE...AND SOUTH OF 
HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE
TO HALLANDALE BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HALLANDALE BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE
* HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND ALONG 
THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE 
PROGRESS OF NICOLE.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED 
LATER TODAY.

I BORROWED NHC WIND FIELD GRAPHICS TO ILLUSTRATE THE SIZE OF NICOLES WIND FIELD RADIUS.