Other than the fish storms in the Atlantic, I am monitoring models that are hinting that one of the African storms may make it further west than most have this season. However, I do notice the high backing off to the east in some model runs, which allows for these storms to turn northwest over the Atlantic. It is still too far in the future to say what will happen, so we will watch closely into next month, which will be a busy one.
RTW
As for Florida labor day weekend a back door front will move into the Gulf by Sunday into Monday and you can expect afternoon showers and storms but Monday is looking real good for most of the state.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 1 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Franklin, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, on Post-Tropical Cyclone Idalia, located a few hundred miles west of Bermuda, on Tropical Storm Jose, located several hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda, and has resumed advisories on Tropical Depression Gert, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. 1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94): Recent microwave satellite images indicate the circulation of a low pressure system located west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined since yesterday. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization. Based on these trends, advisories are likely to be initiated on a tropical depression or tropical storm later this morning. The system is moving northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system during the early and middle parts of next week, and a tropical depression could form while it moves westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Public Advisories on Gert are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Gert are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. Forecaster Reinhart
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