..TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 25, 2024 09:18 PM EDT..

 

The European model is still hinting at development next week, so I will continue to monitor the Atlantic system that I mentioned in the earlier tropical outlook, which is now in the 8 p.m. NHC outlook.

 RTW

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave located over the southeastern Caribbean Sea is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly 
westward at around 25 mph.  Environmental conditions could become 
more conducive for some gradual development late this week over the 
western Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
during the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave centered a couple of hundred miles south of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible 
this weekend and into early next week while it moves generally 
westward across the central and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 
20 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Bucci