..TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 23, 2024..

 

Good morning. I hope you are all well and enjoying your Wednesday.

The tropics are quiet and will remain that way for at least the next 6 to 7 days. After that, there is a good chance for storm development in the Caribbean. Yesterday the Climate Prediction Center put out their updated Global Tropics Hazard Outlook and up the probability to 40% from Oct 30 to Nov 5 and a greater than 20% from Nov 6 to 12. 

So its not over yet; we are gradually winding down, but November may go out with a few more storms before its over. So remain vigilant, and let's hope and pray that we don't see another landfall in Florida.

Check back daily as I will continue to publish updates here.

RTW

By November 1, you can see high pressure interacting with the lows to the south and 

producing a strong pressure gradient over northern Florida with strong gusty winds. 

Earlier on the 31st of October, before the second low forms northwest of the Caribbean low,

Another low with Gail winds tracks north along the Florida southeast coast, bringing squally

conditions to southern Florida with the possibility of storms. So as you see in these models

Run; the possibility of several lows developing is not out of the question. See ensemble models 

below. Remember this forecast in the future, and it is subject to change!