Invest 99L now has a 90/90% chance of formation within 48 hours and 7 days. Models continue to flip and it is still uncertain to where it will end up. What I am noting is that the 12z models are hinting that this system could merge with the front before making landfall along the west coast. This means a weaker system would move over the state.
So far the strengthening may more than likely occur north of Honduras and with a track toward the west over the Yucatan and north-northeast merging with the front.
I will continue to monitor it since models are subject to change from run to run.
RTW
Upper-level winds are presently not that favorable and as that trough moves into the Gulf
it will kick up the upper-level winds ahead of the front.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.