TROPICAL OUTLOOK AUG 28, 2025

 

I'm monitoring clusters of strong thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave that will be affecting the northeast coast of South America in a day or so. This wave is producing gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rains. Where the wave is located, upper-level conditions are somewhat favorable; if it develops some, it would be a short-lived storm system. Regardless of development, they could see some flooding.

The hurricane center has a low chance of formation investigation over the central Atlantic due to a strong wave that will move off the coast of Africa early next week. Models are not showing much development; it is still too early to tell. I will keep you posted. 

Florida will see an increase in showers and storms due to a stationary front and the development of several low pressures that will move over the peninsula this weekend and into next week. So far none of the models suggest development, but I will continue to monitor.

Enjoy your Labor Day weekend!

RTW

446 
ABNT20 KNHC 281118
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand, located over the central Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa 
on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some 
slow development of this system while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, moving across the eastern and 
central tropical Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

---------------------------------------------------------------

029 
ACCA62 KNHC 281119
TWOSAT

Perspectivas del Tiempo Tropical
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL
800 AM EDT jueves 28 de agosto de 2025

Para el Atlántico Norte...Mar Caribe y el Golfo de América:

Sistemas Activos: El Centro Nacional de Huracanes ha emitido la última
advertencia sobre el Ciclón Pos-Tropical Fernand, ubicado sobre el
Atlántico central.

Atlántico Tropical Oriental: Se pronostica que una onda tropical
emerja de la costa oeste de África el domingo. A partir de entonces,
las condiciones ambientales podrían apoyar algún desarrollo lento de
este sistema mientras se mueve hacia el oeste a oeste-noroeste a 15 a
20 mph, moviéndose a través del Atlántico tropical oriental y central
la próxima semana.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 48 horas...baja...cerca del 0 por
ciento.
* Probabilidad de formación hasta 7 días...baja...20 por ciento.

$$
Pronosticador Cangialosi

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