000 ABNT20 KNHC 021750 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. A small area of low pressure over northeastern Nicaragua is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over portions of the western Caribbean Sea. A portion of the low's circulation could move over the Gulf of Honduras on Friday. However, development there, if any, is expected to be slow to occur. This system could then move over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend and early next week, but by then strong upper-level winds would likely limit significant development. Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible across portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure about 280 miles southeast of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Some development of this system could occur during the next 12-24 hours as the low moves generally westward at 10-15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
18Z-12Z-06Z GUIDANCE MODEL TREND
