..PHILIPPE STILL TRACKING SLOWLY WEST.. ..OCT. 2, 2023 11:00 AM EDT..

Philippe is still in a weak steering environment and continues to move slowly westward toward the northern Leeward Islands. The National Hurricane Center has issued a tropical storm watch for the island of Antigua and a tropical storm warning for the island of Barbuda. Tropical storm force winds and heavy rains are possible over Barbuda later today, and flash flooding is also possible. Other islands in the Northern Leeward Islands should monitor advisories from the National Hurricane Center.

Models are still showing that northward turn, but since there is too much going on to the north of Philippe, it won't be happening anytime soon until the next trough moves off shore along the east coast.

RTW 

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BARBUDA... ...PHILIPPE COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY...

11:00 AM AST Mon Oct 2 Location: 17.1°N 60.7°W Moving: WNW at 7 mph Min pressure: 1000 mb Max sustained: 50 mph

..PHILIPPE STILL IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SOME STRENGTHENING..

 

...PHILIPPE SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...EXPECTED TO DRIFT AROUND EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

5:00 PM AST Fri Sep 29 Location: 18.0°N 55.9°W Moving: WSW at 5 mph Min pressure: 1002 mb Max sustained: 50 mph

..PHILIPPE AND RINA MEADERING DUE TO WEAK STEERING CUREENTS.. ..SEPT 29, 2023..

 

...PHILIPPE BARELY MOVING... ...EXPECTED TO DRIFT AROUND EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 29 Location: 18.3°N 55.3°W Moving: WSW at 2 mph Min pressure: 1003 mb Max sustained: 45 mph

..PHILIPPE HAS MANAGED TO FIND A FAVORABLE SPOT FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT.. ..PHILLIPE IS ALSO IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT AT THIS TIME..

GOOD MORNING!

It seems that Phillipe has moved into a favorable area for development. Wind shear is less in this area, and you can see storms firing up near the center as Philippe drifts.

High pressure has backed away to the east, leaving Philippe in a weak steering environment. Models show Philippe meandering between 60 degrees west and 50 degrees west latitude for the next couple of days until the next trough moves off the east coast and helps steer Philippe toward the northeast.

RTW

...PHILIPPE FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY AND REMAIN EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 28 Location: 18.6°N 54.6°W Moving: WNW at 2 mph Min pressure: 1002 mb Max sustained: 50 mph