TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 17, 2019 1246 PM EDT

There is a total of five waves across the Atlantic and Caribbean and non are showing signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.  There is thunderstorms along the southern axis of some of these waves mainly associated with the inter-tropical convergence zone interaction with the wave, but not tropical in nature.  There are not signs of tropical cyclone formation through Wednesday.

RTW

 COURTESY OF TROPICAL TIDBITS.COM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 14, 2019 1059 AM EDT

There are 4 tropical wave in the Atlantic and 1 that has exit the Atlantic and has moved into the East Pacific. There is plenty of Sahara Dust and dry air from the African coast to about 49° West.  This suppresses any thunderstorm from developing.  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected through Sunday.

RTW

Courtesy of Tropical Tidbits.com

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 13, 2019 1210 PM EDT

There are four waves in the tropics but none of them are showing signs of organization.  Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected through Saturday!


Ralph's Tropical Weather RTW

Courtesy of Tropical Tidbits

FYI...I WILL BE OUT OF TOWN JUNE 7-12 FOR MY ANIVERSARY

FYI...

To the followers of Ralph's Tropical Weather I will not be posting tropical updates  June 7-11, 2019.  Its my my wedding anniversary and am going to spend time with my loving wife.  
I will resume updates June 12, 2019. 

Although there will be no Blog updates during that time, I will still be monitoring the tropics from my mobile phone.  If I see something of urgency I will do a short update from my phone and will post as usual.

Thanks for your understanding!

RTW

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 6, 2019 1249 PM EDT

TROPICAL WAVES:

#1  A westward moving wave near 35°/36° West is not showing any signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#2  A westward moving tropical wave near 51°/52° West is partially over Northeast South America.  This wave is not showing any signs of organization at this time.

#3  A westward moving tropical wave near 78°/79° West is also not showing signs of organization at this time.

Heavy rains, tornado possible along Louisiana, and Alabama today. Tornado watch in effect for these areas.  Click (Here) for Storm Prediction Center updates.

  Tornado Watch in Purple color

COURTESY OF TROPICAL TIDBITS

REMNANTS OF INVEST 91L PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS AND LOUISIANA

What once was invest 91L seems to be hugging the Texas coast and the thunderstorms flaring up all morning are being fed by the warm Gulf waters.  Strong storms blowing up on satellite all morning producing heavy rains and flash flooding along the coast. 

There are no signs of a surface circulation but this system has been producing wind gust in the 30s and 40s.  Earlier there was a 45 mph wind gust off shore mainly to the south of where the thunderstorms are located.  I will continue to monitor this system as a depression or even tropical storm could form if it does move further off shore.  Severe storms are possible with this system.

RTW

HIGH RISK OF FLASH FLOODS JUNE 5 2019

NWS WPC‏Verified account @NWSWPC

A High Risk of flash flooding has been issued today for portions of southeast TX and southwest LA, where upwards of a foot of rain is possible. This means widespread flash floods are expected! The risk for flash flooding will shift eastward through Friday. #TurnAroundDontDrown

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 5, 2019 1037 AM EDT

There are four tropical waves in the Atlantic and one near Eastern Jamaica.  None of these wave are showing signs of organization at this time.  Tropical cyclone formation is not expect through Friday.

RTW

COURTESY OF TROPICAL TIDBITS.COM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 4, 2019 0432 PM EDT

#1 A westward moving tropical wave near 23°/24° West is accompanied by strong to moderate storms along the southern axis of the wave.  This thunderstorm activity is mainly associated with the Monsoonal trough and the ITCZ south of 10° North.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#2 A west moving tropical wave near 43° West does not have much thunderstorm associated with it.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#3  A west moving tropical wave along 60° West has some strong to moderate storms along the southern axis of the wave which is partially over land.  Development is not expected at this time.

Invest 91L continues to near the coast so the chance for development are low.  Heavy rains will spread over northeast Mexico north through Texas and over the mid plain states in the coming days.  This will produce flooding for those areas already saturated from previous severe storms.

Elsewhere the tropics remain quiet for now.

RTW

INVEST 91L 12Z MODEL RUN UPDATE JUNE 4, 2019 1108 AM EDT

Invest 91L continues to struggle but still has a chance to become a depression or weak tropical storm before it moves inland Mexico/ Southern Texas.

Most of the models take it inland but their are a few that re-curve it toward the northeast.  This system brings plenty of moisture with it so flooding is the only concern at this time.

RTW

 COURTESY OF TROPICAL TIDBITS .COM

18z MODEL RUN UPDATE JUNE 3, 2019 0535 PM EDT

Looks like a  coastal rain event as models take 91L along the coast.  Latest models courtesy of Tropical Tidbits.com

THIS EVENING UPDATES WILL BE FROM MY CELL PHONE

I have a graduation to go to this evening grandson graduates from Kindergarten.  I won't be using my laptop so I will use tropical tidbits models and what ever the hurricane center has posted.  I will do my regular write up on what I see.

RTW

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 3, 2019 1124 AM EDT

TROPICAL WAVES:

#1  A west moving tropical wave near 18°/19° West is interacting with the Monsoon trough and the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) south of 10° North.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#2  A west moving tropical wave near 31°/32° West is also interacting with the ITCZ and there is no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#3  Another westward moving tropical wave near 51°/52° West has made it on shore the northeast coast of South America.  A portion of the southern axis of the wave is over land. The northern axis is still over the Atlantic.  Some showers are associated the ITCZ but not as numerous as the other two waves.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#4  Invest 91L is now slowly tracking northwestward and is expected to spread heavy rains up the Gulf coast from Mexico to Louisiana in the coming days.  This system has a Medium 60% chance for development within 48 hrs and within 5 days.

RTW