...INVEST 95L NOT LOOKING ALL THAT ORGANIZED...ATLANTIC INVEST LACKING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NOT LOOKING GOOD FOR DEVELOPMENT...

 

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000
ABNT20 KNHC 292338
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 29 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southern Caribbean Sea:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone Two, located over the southern Caribbean Sea near 
Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Western Gulf of Mexico:
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the low 
pressure are over the western Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and 
found a closed wind circulation.  However, at this time the 
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is too poorly organized 
to designate the system as a tropical depression.  This system is 
forecast to move slowly westward and approach the coast of southern 
Texas and northern Mexico by early Thursday. Some slow development 
is still possible and it could become a short-lived tropical 
depression near the coast before it turns northwestward and moves 
inland over Texas later on Thursday. Regardless of development, 
heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast for 
the next few days. For more information about the potential for 
heavy rain, please see products issued by your National Weather 
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.